Orwell’s observations on thought control under
freedom come to mind in considering the raging debate today about the Iran
nuclear deal, which currently occupies center stage. I should say it’s a raging
debate in the United States, virtually alone. In almost everywhere else, the deal has
been greeted with relief and optimism and without even a parliamentary review. This
is one of the many striking examples of the famous concept of American
exceptionalism.
The fact that America is an exceptional nation is
regularly intoned by virtually every political figure, and, I think more
revealingly, the same is true of prominent academic and public intellectuals. Can
select almost at random. Take, for example, [Samuel
Huntington]. He’s a distinguished liberal scholar, government adviser. He’s writing in Harvard’s prestigious journal, International
Security, and there he explains that unlike other countries, the “national
identity” of the United States is “defined by a set of universal political and
economic values,” namely “liberty, democracy, equality, private property, and
markets.” So the U.S. has a solemn duty to maintain its “international primacy”
for the benefit of the world. And since this is a matter of definition,
we can dispense with the tedious work of empirical verification, so I won’t
spend any time on that.
Or let’s turn to the leading left-liberal
intellectual journal, The New York Review. There,
a couple of months ago, we read from the former chair of the Carnegie Endowment
for International Peace that “American
contributions to international security, global economic growth, freedom, and
human well-being have been so self-evidently unique and have been so clearly
directed to others’ benefit that Americans have long believed that the [United
States] amounts to a different kind of country.” While others push their
national interest, the United States “tries to advance universal principles.”
No evidence is given because it’s again a matter of definition. And it’s very
easy to continue.
It’s only fair to add that there’s nothing at all
exceptional about this. American exceptionalism was standard for every great power,
very familiar from other imperial states in their days in the sun—Britain,
France, others. And this is true, interestingly, even from very
honorable figures from whom one might have expected better—so, John Stuart
Mill, for example, in England, to mention a significant case—which raises
interesting questions about intellectual life and intellectual standards.
Well, in some respects, American exceptionalism is
not in doubt. I just mentioned one example: the current Iran nuclear deal. Now,
here the exceptionalism of the United States, its isolation, is dramatic and
stark. There are actually many other cases, but this is the one I’d like to
think about this evening. And in fact, U.S. isolation might soon increase. The
Republican organization—I hesitate to say “party”—is dedicated to undermining
the deal, in interesting ways, with the kind of unanimity that one doesn’t find
in political parties, though it’s familiar in such former organizations as the
old Communist Party—democratic centralism, everyone has to say the same thing.
That’s one of many indications that the Republicans are no longer a political
party in the normal sense, despite pretensions, commentary and so on.
The former Republican Party
has now become a “radical insurgency” that’s abandoned parliamentary politics. I’m
quoting two highly respected, very conservative political commentators, Thomas
Mann and Norman Ornstein of the right-wing American Enterprise Institute. And
in fact, they may succeed in increasing sanctions, and even secondary sanctions
on other countries, and carry out other actions that could lead Iran to opt out
of the deal with the United States—with the United States, that is. That,
however, need not mean that the agreement is nullified. Contrary to the way it’s sometimes
presented here, it’s not a U.S.-Iran agreement. It’s an agreement
between Iran and what’s called P5+1, the five veto-holding members of the
Security Council plus Germany. And the other participants might agree to
proceed—Iran, as well. They would then join China and India, which have already
been finding ways to evade the U.S. constraints on interactions with Iran. And
in fact, if they do, they’ll join the large majority of the world’s population,
the Non-Aligned Movement, which all along has vigorously supported Iran’s right
to pursue its nuclear programs as a member of the NPT. But remember that they
are not part of the international community. So when we say the international
community opposes Iran’s policies or the international community does some
other thing, that means the United States and anybody else who happens to be
going along with it, so we can dismiss them. If others continue to honor the
deal, which could happen, the United States will be isolated from the world,
which is not an unfamiliar position.
That’s also the background for the other element of
Obama’s—what’s called Obama’s legacy, his other main foreign policy
achievement, the beginning of normalization of relations with Cuba. On Cuba,
the United States has been almost totally isolated for decades. If you look,
say, at the annual votes in the U.N. General Assembly on the U.S. embargo, they’re
rarely reported, but the U.S. essentially votes alone. The last one Israel
joined. But, of course, Israel violates the embargo; they just have to join,
because have to join with the master. Occasionally, the Marshall Islands or
Palau or someone else joins. And in the hemisphere, the United States has been
totally isolated for years. The main hemispheric conferences have foundered
because the United States will simply not join the rest of the hemisphere in
the major issues that are discussed. Last one in Colombia, the two major issues
were admitting Cuba into the hemisphere—U.S. and Canada refused, everyone else
agreed—and the U.S. drug war, which is devastating Latin America, and they want
to get out of it, but the U.S. and Canada don’t agree. Now that’s actually the
background for Obama’s acceptance of steps towards normalization of relations
with Cuba. Another hemispheric conference was coming up in Panama, and if the
United States had not made that move, it probably would have been thrown out of
the hemisphere, so therefore Obama made what’s
called here a noble gesture, a courageous move to end Cuba’s isolation, although in
reality it was U.S. isolation that was the motivating factor.
So if the United States ends up being almost
universally isolated on Iran, that won’t be anything particularly new, and in
fact there are quite a few other cases. Well, in the case of Iran, the reasons
for U.S. concerns are very clearly and repeatedly articulated: Iran is the
gravest threat to world peace. We hear that regularly from high
places—government officials, commentators, others—in the United States. There
also happens to be a world out there, and it has its own opinions. It’s quite
easy to find these out from standard sources, like the main U.S. polling
agency. Gallup polls takes regular polls of international opinion. And one of the questions it posed—it’s posed is: Which
country do you think is the gravest threat to world peace? The answer is unequivocal:
the United States by a huge margin. Way behind in second place is Pakistan—it’s
inflated, surely, by the Indian vote—and then a couple of others. Iran is
mentioned, but along with Israel and a few others, way down. That’s one
of the things that it wouldn’t do to say, and in fact the results that are
found by the leading U.S. polling agency didn’t make it through the portals of
what we call the free press. But it doesn’t go away for that reason.
Well, given the reigning doctrine about the gravity
of the Iranian threat, we can understand the virtually unanimous stand that the
United States is entitled to react with military force—unilaterally, of
course—if it claims to detect some Iranian departure from the terms of the
agreement. So, again, picking an example virtually at random from the national
press, consider the lead editorial
last Sunday in The Washington Post. It calls on Congress—I’ll quote—to “make clear that Mr. Obama or his successor will have support
for immediate U.S. military action if an Iranian attempt to build a bomb is
detected”—meaning by the United States. So the editors, again, make it
clear that the United States is exceptional. It’s a rogue state, indifferent to
international law and conventions, entitled to resort to violence at will. But
the editors can’t be faulted for that stand, because it’s almost universal
among the political class in this exceptional nation, though what it means is,
again, one of those things that it wouldn’t do to say.
Sometimes the doctrine takes quite a remarkable form,
and not just on the right, by any means. So take, for example, the Clinton Doctrine—namely, the United States is free
to resort to unilateral use of military power, even for such purposes as to
ensure uninhibited access to key markets, energy supplies and strategic
resources—let alone security or alleged humanitarian concerns. And adherence to
this doctrine is very well confirmed and practiced, as need hardly be discussed
among people willing to look at the facts of current history.
Well, The Washington Post editors also make
clear why the United States should be prepared to take such extreme steps in
its role of international primacy. If the United States is not prepared to
resort to military force, they explain, then Iran may—I’m quoting—Iran may “escalate
its attempt to establish hegemony over the Middle East by force.” That’s what the president,
President Obama, calls Iran’s aggression, which we have to contain. For
those who are unaware of how Iran has been attempting to establish hegemony
over the Middle East by force—or might even dream of doing so—the editors do give examples, two examples: its support for
the Assad regime and for Hezbollah. Well, I won’t insult your
intelligence by discussing this demonstration that Iran has been seeking to
establish hegemony over the region by force; however, on Iranian aggression,
there is an example—I think one in the last several hundred years—namely,
Iranian conquest of two Arab islands in the Gulf under the U.S.-backed regime
of the Shah in the 1970s.
Well, these shocking Iranian efforts to establish
regional hegemony by force can be contrasted with the actions of U.S.
allies—for example, NATO ally Turkey, which is actively supporting the jihadi
forces in Syria. The support is so strong that it appears that Turkey helped
its allies in the al-Nusra Front, the al-Qaeda-affiliated al-Nusra Front, to
kill and capture the few dozen fighters that were introduced into Syria by the
Pentagon a few weeks ago. It’s the result of several years and who knows how
many billions of dollars of training. They did enter and were immediately
captured or killed, apparently with the aid of Turkish intelligence. Well, more important than that is the central role of the leading
U.S. ally, Saudi Arabia, for the jihadi rebels in Syria and Iraq, and, more
generally, for Saudi Arabia having been—I’m quoting—”a major source of
financing to rebel and terrorist organizations since the 1980s.” That’s
from a study, recent study, by the European Parliament, repeating what’s well known. And still
more generally, the missionary zeal with which Saudi Arabia promulgates its
radical, extremist, Wahhabi-Safafi doctrines by establishing Qur’anic schools,
mosques, sending radical clerics throughout the Muslim world, with enormous
impact. One of the closest observers of the region, Patrick Cockburn, writes that
the “Wahhabisation” by Saudi Arabia—“The ‘Wahhabisation’
of mainstream Sunni Islam is one of the most dangerous developments of our era”—always
with strong U.S. support. These are all things that wouldn’t do to
mention, along with the fact that these pernicious developments are a direct
outgrowth of the long-term tendency of the United States, picking up from
Britain before it, to support radical Islam in opposition to secular
nationalism. These are long-standing commitments.
There are others, like U.N. Ambassador Samantha Power, who condemn Iran’s destabilization of
the region. Destabilization is an interesting concept of political discourse.
So, for example, when Iran comes to the aid of the government of Iraq and Iraqi
Kurdistan in defense against the assault of ISIS, that’s destabilization, and
we have to prevent it, if not aggression, perhaps. In contrast, when the United States
invades Iraq and kills a couple hundred thousand people, generates millions of
refugees, destroys the country and sets off a sectarian conflict that’s tearing
Iraq and, by now, the whole region to shreds, and, on the side,
increases terrorism worldwide by a factor of seven, just in the first year, that’s
stabilization, part of our mission that we must continue for the benefit of the
world. Actually, the exceptionalism of U.S. doctrinal institutions
is quite wondrous to behold.
Well, going on with The Washington Post
editors, they join Obama’s negotiator, Obama’s Clinton negotiator, Dennis Ross,
Thomas Friedman, other notables, in calling on Washington to provide Israel with B-52 bombers, and perhaps even the
more advanced B-2 bombers, and also huge, what are called massive ordnance
penetrators—bunker busters, informally. There’s a problem: They don’t
have airstrips for huge planes like that. But they can use maybe Turkey’s
airstrips. And none of this is for defense. These are not defensive weapons,
remember. All of these weapons are offensive weapons for Israel to use to bomb
Iran, if it chooses to do so. And, you know, since Israel is a U.S. client, it
inherits from the master the freedom from international law, so nothing
surprising about giving it vast supplies of offensive weapons to use when it
chooses.
Well, the violation of international law goes well
beyond threat; goes to action, including acts of war, which are proudly
proclaimed, presumably, because that’s our right—as an exceptional nation
again. One example is the successful sabotage of
Iranian nuclear installations by cyberwar. The Pentagon has views about
cyberwar. The Pentagon regards cyberwar as an act of war, which justifies a
military response. And a year ago, NATO affirmed the same position, determined
that aggression through cyber-attacks can trigger the collective defense
obligations of the NATO alliance, meaning if any country is attacked by
cyberwar, the whole alliance can respond by military attacks. That means
cyberwar attacks against us, not by us against them. And the significance of
these stands is, again, something that wouldn’t do to mention. And you can
check to see that that condition is well observed.
Perhaps the United States and Israel are justified in
cowering in terror before Iran because of its extraordinary military power. And
it’s possible to evaluate that concern. For example, you can turn to the
authoritative analysis, detailed analysis, of the
Center for Strategic and International Studies, the main source for such
information, last April, which conducted and published a long study of the
regional military balance. And they find—I’ll quote—”a conclusive case that the
Arab Gulf states have ... an overwhelming advantage [over] Iran in both
military spending and access to modern arms.” That’s the Gulf Cooperation
Council states; that’s Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Saudi Arabia, United Arab
Emirates. They outspend Iran on arms by a factor of eight. It’s an imbalance
that goes back decades. And their report observes further that “the Arab Gulf
states have acquired and are acquiring some of the most advanced and effective
weapons in the world [while] Iran has [been essentially] forced to live in the
past, often relying on systems originally delivered at the time of the Shah,”
40 years ago, which are essentially obsolete. And the imbalance is, of course,
even greater with Israel, which, along with the most advanced U.S. weaponry and
its role as a virtual offshore military base of the global superpower, has a
huge stock of nuclear weapons.
There
are, of course, other threats that justify serious concern and can’t be brushed
aside. A nuclear weapon state might leak nuclear weapons to jihadis. No joke. In the case of Iran, the threat is minuscule. Not
only are the Sunni jihadis the mortal [enemies] of Iran, but the ruling
clerics, whatever one thinks of them, have shown no signs of clinical insanity,
and they know that if there was even a hint that they were the source of a
leaked weapon, they and all they possess would be instantly vaporized. That
doesn’t mean that we can ignore the threat, however—not from Iran, where it
doesn’t exist, but from U.S. ally Pakistan, where the threat is in fact very
real. It’s discussed recently by two leading Pakistani nuclear scientists, Pervez Hoodbhoy and Zia
Mian. In Britain’s leading journal of International
Affairs, they write that increasing fears of “militants seizing nuclear
weapons or materials and unleashing nuclear terrorism [have led to] the
creation of a dedicated force of over 20,000 troops to guard nuclear
facilities. There is no reason to assume, however, that this force would be
immune to the problems associated with the units guarding regular military
facilities,” which have frequently suffered attacks with “insider help.”
In other
words, the whole system is laced with jihadi elements, in large measure because
of the—of what Patrick Cockburn described, the “Wahhabisation” of Sunni Islam
from Saudi Arabia and with the strong support of the United States, ever since
the Reagan administration. Well, in
short, the problem is real enough, very real, in fact. It’s not being seriously
addressed. It’s not even discussed. Rather, what we’re concerned about is
fantasies, concocted for other reasons, about the current official enemy.
Opponents of the Iran nuclear deal maintain that Iran
is intent on developing nuclear weapons. U.S. intelligence can discern no
evidence for this, but there is no doubt at all that in the past they have, in
fact, intended to do so. And we know this because it was clearly stated by the
highest authorities in Iran. The highest authority of
the Iranian state informed foreign journalists that Iran would develop nuclear
weapons “certainly, and sooner than one thinks.” The father of Iran’s nuclear
energy program, former head of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization, expressed his
confidence that the leadership’s plan is “to build a nuclear bomb.” And a CIA
report also had, in their words, “no doubt” that Iran would develop nuclear
weapons if neighboring countries do, as of course they have.
All of this was under the
Shah, the “highest authority” just quoted. That is during the period when high U.S.
officials—Cheney, Rumsfeld and Kissinger—were urging the Shah to proceed with
nuclear programs, and they were also pressuring universities to accommodate
these efforts. My own university was an example, MIT. Under government
pressure, it made a deal with the Shah to admit Iranian students to the nuclear
engineering department in return for grants from the Shah. This was done over
the very strong objections of the student body, but with comparably strong
faculty support. That’s a distinction that raises a number of interesting
questions about academic institutions and how they function. The faculty or the
students of a couple years ago would have a different institutional place.
Opponents of the nuclear—in fact, some of these MIT students are now running
the Iranian nuclear programs.
Opponents of the nuclear deal argue that it didn’t go
far enough. You’ve heard a lot of that. And interestingly, some of the
supporters of the deal agree, demanding that it go beyond what has been
achieved and that the whole Middle East should rid itself of nuclear weapons
and, in fact, weapons of mass destruction generally. Actually, I’m quoting Iran’s minister of foreign affairs, Javad Zarif. He is
reiterating the call of the Non-Aligned Movement—most of the world—and the Arab
states, for many years, to establish a weapons of mass destruction-free zone in
the Middle East. Now that would be a very straightforward way to address
whatever threat Iran is alleged to pose. But a lot more than that is at stake.
This was discussed recently in the leading U.S. world arms control journal, Arms
Control Today, by two leading figures in the international anti-nuclear
movement, two scientists who are veterans of Pugwash and U.N. agencies. They observe that “The successful adoption in 1995 of the
resolution on the establishment of a zone free of weapons of mass destruction
in the Middle East was the main element of a package that permitted the ...
extension of the [Non-Proliferation Treaty].” That’s the most important
arms control treaty there is, and its continuation is conditioned on acceptance
of moves towards establishing a weapons of mass destruction-free zone, a
nuclear-free zone, in the Middle East.
Repeatedly,
implementation of this plan has been blocked by the United States at the annual
five-year review meetings of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, most recently by Obama in 2010 and again in 2015, a
couple of months ago. The same two anti-nuclear
specialists comment that in 2015 this effort was again blocked by the United
States “on behalf of a state that is not party to the Non-Proliferation Treaty
and is widely believed to be the only one in the region possessing nuclear
weapons.” That’s a polite and understated reference to Israel. Washington’s sabotage of the possibility, in
defense of Israeli nuclear weapons, may well undermine the Non-Proliferation
Treaty, as well as maintaining dangerous instability in the Middle East—always, of course, in the
name of stability. This is, incidentally, not the only case when
opportunities to end the alleged Iranian threat have been undermined by
Washington—some quite interesting cases; no time, and I won’t go into them. But
all of this raises quite interesting questions, which we should be asking,
about what actually is at stake.
So, turning to that, what
actually is the threat posed by Iran? Plainly, it’s not a military threat. That’s
obvious. We can put aside the fevered pronouncements about Iranian
aggression, support for terror, seeking hegemony over the region by force, or
the still more outlandish notion that even if Iran had a bomb, it might use it,
therefore suffering instant obliteration. The real threat has been clearly
explained by U.S. intelligence in its reports to Congress on the global
security situation. Of course, they deal with Iran. And they point out—I’m
quoting U.S. intelligence—“Iran’s nuclear program and its willingness to keep open the
possibility of developing nuclear weapons is a central part of its deterrent
strategy.” Right? It’s part of Iran’s deterrent strategy—no offensive
policies, but they are trying to construct a deterrent. And that Iran has a
serious interest in a deterrent strategy is not in doubt among serious
analysts. It’s recognized, for example, by U.S. intelligence. So the influential analyst, CIA veteran
Bruce Riedel, who’s by no means a dove, he writes that “If I [were] an
Iranian national security planner, I would want nuclear weapons” as a
deterrent. And the reasons are
pretty obvious.
He also makes another crucial comment. He points out that
Israel’s strategic room for maneuver in the region would be constrained by an
Iranian nuclear deterrent. And it’s, of course, also true of the United States.
“Room for maneuver” means resort to aggression and violence. And it’s—yes,
it would be constrained by an Iranian deterrent. For the two rogue states that rampage
freely in the region—the United States and Israel—any deterrent is, of course,
unacceptable. And for those who are accustomed and take for granted their right
to rule by force, that concern is easily escalated to what’s called an
existential threat. The threat of deterrence is very severe, if you expect to
resort to force unilaterally at will to achieve your goals, as the U.S. and,
secondarily, Israel do commonly. And more recently, the second U.S. ally, Saudi
Arabia, has been trying to get into the club, pretty incompetently, with its
invasion of Bahrain to prevent mild reformist measures, and more recently its
extensive bombing of Yemen, which is causing a huge humanitarian crisis. So
for them, a deterrent is a problem, maybe even an existential threat.
That, I think, is the heart of the matter, even if it wouldn’t
do to say or to think. And except for those who hope to fend off possible
disaster and to move towards a more peaceful and just world, it’s necessary to
keep to these injunctions. These are things that wouldn’t do to say, wouldn’t
do to think—you don’t read about them, you don’t hear about them—but they are,
I think, the heart of the issue. Thanks.
So, “How has the
United States supported radical Islam?”
As I mentioned, just as Britain did before it. I won’t
comment on the British rule, but if you want to learn about it, there’s quite a
good book on it by a very good British diplomatic historian, Mark Curtis, who
discusses in detail, going back to the documentary record, how England, Britain
supported radical Islam during its period of dominance. The U.S. has done it
always. The major center of radical Islam, extremist radical Islam, is Saudi
Arabia, unquestionably. They are the source of the Wahhabization of the region,
which Patrick Cockburn points out is one of the major developments of the
modern era. Who’s the main supporter of Saudi Arabia?
You are. You know, that’s where your tax dollars go. It’s been for a
long time. Right now tens of billions of dollars of arms being sent under
Obama, but it goes way back.
In fact, the strong U.S. relation with Israel
developed out of this. The United States and Israel had close relations, but
not unusual, through the 1950s and early ‘60s. That changed in 1967. What
happened in 1967? Israel performed a huge service to the United States and its
Saudi Arabian ally. Saudi Arabia has been and remains the center of extremist,
radical, fundamentalist Islam, with offshoots in the jihadi movements and so
on, including ISIS. At the time, the center of secular nationalism was Nasser’s
Egypt, and there was a conflict between the two of them. In fact, they were at
war. They were at war in the Yemen at the time. Israel administered a very
serious blow to secular nationalism. It devastated the Egyptian army and Syria,
and it saved Saudi Arabia and offered a great boon to the United States. And,
in fact, if you check back, it’s at that time that the unusual—in fact,
unique—relationship between Israel and the United States developed.
And in fact it continues after that. I could give
more examples if there was time. But that has been a consistent pattern. There
are a few exceptions here and there. So sometimes the United States has supported
secular Islamic states. The most extreme and interesting example is Saddam
Hussein, who was greatly loved by the Reagan administration and by the Bush I
administration. I could give you the details, but they were so supportive of
Saddam Hussein that he was even given a gift that otherwise only Israel has
been granted, no other country. He was permitted to attack a U.S. naval vessel,
killing a couple of dozen American sailors, and to get away with it with just a
tap on the wrist. Israel had done the same thing in 1967. Saddam Hussein did it
in 1987. And the friendship for Saddam Hussein was so enormous that he was
granted that right. And that was a secular state. In fact, George Bush number
one even invited Iraqi nuclear engineers to the United States for advanced
training in nuclear weapons production. That’s a pretty supportive
relationship. So there are cases where the United States has supported secular
Islam, but typically it’s radical Islam that has been the beneficiary of U.S.
support, like Britain before it.
“Why isn’t the United
States doing more to help Syrian refugees?”
Well, that’s a question you should ask yourselves.
Why aren’t we doing more? After all, we’re pretty munificent already. I think
2,000 have been accepted, after several years’ wait. But yes, that’s a very
serious question. Can be generalized. There are other
refugees. What about people fleeing from Honduras? The main—that’s the main
source of what’s called the refugee crisis here. Most of them are coming from
Honduras. Why? Well, something
happened in Honduras a couple years ago. There was a military coup,
which overthrew the democratic government. The United States was about the only
country that gave its support. And the result of the military coup is a real
horror story. It was bad enough before, but it’s become horrendous since. So
people are fleeing, and therefore we have to build, you know, a mile-high wall
on the Texas border or wherever it is. So, yeah, these are fair questions.
“The Obama doctrine
vis-Ã -vis Syria?”
It’s a good question. Washington hasn’t a clue. It’s
obvious. And it’s a little hard to fault them for that. It’s very hard to think
of a constructive outcome to this utter disaster.
The United States has taken a somewhat hands-off
position, except that it’s supporting its allies, who are very clear. As I
mentioned, Turkey, a NATO ally, has been supporting the al-Qaeda-related jihadi
front, namely the al-Nusra Front, a couple of others. The Gulf states, also
U.S. ally, Saudi Arabia, where they have been strong supporters of what’s now
become the Islamic State—technically, Saudi Arabia, the government, no
longer—claims no longer to support them directly, but surely did in the past,
and funders from the Gulf—wealthy Gulf states are still presumably funding
them, as they have in the past. It’s pretty open in the case of Qatar. So there’s—these
are indirect U.S. policies.
The only conceivable hope for some resolution of this
horrendous crisis, which is totally destroying the country, is the kind of
negotiated settlement that was worked on by serious negotiators, like Lakhdar Brahimi, an international
negotiator, very respectable, sensible. And the main idea, which—shared by any
analyst with a grey cell functioning, is some kind of negotiated settlement which will involve
the Assad government, like it or not, and involve the opposition elements, like
it or not. There can’t be negotiations that don’t
involve the parties that are fighting. That’s pretty obvious, just as South
African negotiations had to involve the leadership of the apartheid state.
There’s no other way. They can’t have other negotiations. It’s perfectly
obvious that the Assad government is not going to enter into negotiations that
are based on the condition that it commits suicide. If that’s the condition,
they’re just going to keep destroying the country. That unfortunately is
the—has been the U.S. position of the negotiations. U.S. and its allies have
demanded that negotiations be based on the precondition that the Assad
government will not survive. It’s a horrible government, and I’d like it not to
survive, but that’s a prescription for destroying Syria, because it’s not going
to enter into negotiations on those terms.
Right now, and in fact in the past, these have been
proposals pretty much supported by the Russians. And,
in fact, you may not have seen this, but for those of you who read the
international press, British press, a couple of days ago there was a very
interesting revelation that in 2012 the Russians had apparently presented a
proposal for an interim regime which would not include Assad, and it was turned
down by the United States and the West. That
was reported in practically the entire British press—Guardian, The
Independent, Daily Telegraph, across the spectrum. Didn’t
appear in the United States for a while, but finally it did appear, not in
print, as far as I can tell, but in an online edition of The Washington Post, where there’s
an article of the usual type. It sort of
mentions that this is rumored, but can’t take it seriously, and, you know, so
on, probably didn’t mean it, and so on and so forth. Well, OK, you can
draw your own conclusions.
But as far as—if you ask what the Obama doctrine is, it doesn’t
exist. We saw the Obama doctrine a couple of weeks ago when the Pentagon
sent in these 50 fighters, who had been trained for years, and they were
immediately captured, killed, or just defected, by Turkey’s ally, the al-Nusra
Front, as I mentioned, apparently with Turkish intelligence support. Now that’s the doctrine, is nothing, except to support the
allies, which are in fact supporting jihadi forces. But what the
doctrine ought to be, I think, is pretty clear. What the chances are for
settlement of those terms is hard to say—not very high. But if you can think of
an alternative, you should present it. No other alternative has been proposed.
“What do you think
about the antics of Donald Trump, in tangent to your earlier idea about
American exceptionalism?”
Well, actually, I think we
should recognize that the other candidates are not that different. I
mean, if you take a look at—just take a look at their views. You know, they tell you their views, and they’re astonishing.
So just to keep to Iran, a couple of weeks
ago, the two front-runners—they’re not the front-runners any longer—were Jeb
Bush and Scott Walker. And they differed on Iran. Walker said we have to bomb
Iran; when he gets elected, they’re going to bomb Iran immediately, the day he’s
elected. Bush was a little—you know, he’s more serious: He said he’s going to
wait ‘til the first Cabinet meeting, and then they’ll bomb Iran. I mean, this
is just off the spectrum of not only international opinion, but even relative
sanity.
This is—I think Ornstein and Mann are correct: It’s a
radical insurgency; it’s not a political party. You can tell that even by the
votes. I mean, any issue of any complexity is going to have some diversity of
opinion. But when you get a unanimous vote to kill the Iranian deal or the
Affordable Care Act or
whatever the next thing may be, you know you’re not dealing with a
political party.
It’s an interesting question why that’s true. I think
what’s actually happened is that during the whole so-called neoliberal period,
last generation, both political parties have drifted to the right. Today’s
Democrats are what used to be called moderate Republicans. The Republicans have
just drifted off the spectrum. They’re so committed to extreme wealth and power
that they cannot get votes, can’t get votes by presenting those positions. So
what has happened is that they’ve mobilized sectors of the population that have
been around for a long time. It is a pretty exceptional
country in many ways. One is it’s extremely religious. It’s one of the most extreme
fundamentalist countries in the world. And by now, I suspect the majority
of the base of the Republican Party is evangelical Christians, extremists,
not—they’re a mixture, but these are the extremist ones, nativists who are
afraid that, you know, “they are taking our white Anglo-Saxon country away from
us,” people who have to have guns when they go into Starbucks because, who
knows, they might get killed by an Islamic terrorist and so on. I mean, all of that is part of the country, and it goes back
to colonial days. There are real roots to it. But these have not been an
organized political force in the past. They are now. That’s the base of the
Republican Party. And you see it in the primaries. So, yeah, Trump is maybe
comic relief, but it’s just a—it’s not that different from the mainstream,
which I think is more important.
“U.S. exceptionalism
has existed since the”—what’s that?
ANTHONY ARNOVE: “Doctrine.”
NOAM CHOMSKY: “... since the doctrine of manifest destiny in the
18th”—actually 19th—”century. What has changed?”
Well, what’s changed is the
capacity to implement the doctrines. So take, say, the Monroe Doctrine, 1823. The
Monroe Doctrine essentially declared that the United States must rule the
hemisphere. It didn’t say it in those words, but that’s what it amounted to.
And it was the intellectual father of the Monroe Doctrine, it was John Quincy
Adams, who was also the intellectual author of manifest destiny. Well, there
was a problem. This was the 1820s. There was a deterrent. The deterrent was
Britain. Britain was the hated enemy. They were the big military power, and
they prevented the United States from achieving its first foreign policy goal.
By “foreign,” I mean outside the national territory. That’s also aggression,
but it’s not called aggression, but conquest of the national territory, what’s
now the national territory. Of course, there was a war, against the indigenous population, who were
exterminated and expelled. But the first so-called foreign goal was to
take over Cuba. Goes back to the 1820s. Couldn’t do it. British navy was in the
way.
John Quincy Adams, who was an astute ground strategist, pointed
out to his colleagues that we just have to wait. He said, “Sooner or later, U.S. power will increase, British power
will decline. And,” as he put it, “Cuba will fall into our hands by the laws of
political gravitation, just the way an apple falls from the tree,” which
indeed happened. Over the 19th century, U.S. power increased, British power
declined. The U.S. was able to take further steps in the Western Hemisphere.
And in 1898, in fact, it was able to conquer Cuba. That’s—if you go to school in the
United States, you learn that the United States liberated Cuba in 1898. In
fact, the U.S. invaded to prevent Cuba from liberating itself from Spain, which
is what happened. And since—after that,
it just became a virtual colony, until liberation finally in 1959, and ever
since then the United States has been trying to reverse it.
And the same is true generally. The United States did
not—it was a—it may have been—it was probably the richest country in the world
back in the early 19th century, but not the most powerful country. Britain was
the most powerful. France was a powerful country. And that changed over the
years, especially with
the First World War and finally with the Second World War. So,
exceptionalism has greatly expanded as power expanded. And I say again
that this exceptionalism was also true of other great powers during their day
of imperial power and domination.
“World leaders will
meet in New York City next week for a new set of global anti-poverty targets,
sustainable development goals. Do you think these targets are sufficient?”
“Can you comment on
the importance of WikiLeaks cables?”
Now, they’ve been really revealing. You learn a lot
from them. Some of them are really interesting, including ones that aren’t
discussed much. I mean, most of them you’ve seen. But, for example, one of the
WikiLeaks—one interesting question that should be on everybody’s mind is: What
is the basis for the extraordinary relationship between the United States and
Israel? There are a lot of reasons for it, but one interesting aspect was
revealed by a WikiLeaks cable, which I think wasn’t reported.
One of the cables listed—of the leaks, listed a
document, an internal U.S. document, Pentagon document, which listed the top strategic priorities of the United States, regions in
the world that were so important that we had to protect them at all costs. There
were maybe—I forget how many, a dozen or so. One of them was right outside
Haifa, Rafael military industries, major military industry. That’s one of the
main places where drone technology has been developed. The links between U.S.
and Israeli high-tech military industry are extremely close. In fact, in this
case, Rafael, the
biggest industry, our ties are so close that Rafael actually moved its
management headquarters to Washington, where the money is.
Well, what that tells you, that gives an interesting
insight into the nature of the relationship. Israel is
now—does play a major role—small country, but good high-tech industry, and it
plays a major role in repression and aggression. It’s developed—the Israeli
arms fairs, where they sell their arms, they advertise, correctly, that they
have developed advanced means of repression and control, and that the arms that
they’re displaying are battlefield-tested, namely against the Palestinians. So
they’ve refined the techniques of control. And they contribute to that
all over the place—in Central America, even in the United States. They’re
providing advice on how to bar Honduran immigrants, say, from coming to the
United States. They help train police and so on, many examples.
Well, that’s only one case, but there have been many
other cases of the WikiLeaks materials. It’s really worth reading through them,
not just the ones that, you know, do get reported, but many other ones. There’s
actually a volume that just came out on WikiLeaks, which is important reading.
“Do you think that U.N.
foreign policy is—U.S. foreign policy, sorry, is driven exclusively by economic
interests? What other factors influence U.S. foreign policy, and to what
extent?”
That’s quite an interesting question. It’s certainly
not driven entirely by economic interests. In fact, there are very striking
cases. Usually, by and large, the U.S. foreign policy, like other major states,
is driven by the dominant domestic forces. That’s kind of natural. And the dominant
domestic forces are, of course, the corporate sector. That’s not in
question. So, by and large, foreign policy is driven by their interests. And
what I—the Clinton Doctrine, which I quoted, is an obvious case, but there are
plenty of others. However, there are exceptions, and there are very interesting
ones.
Actually, Iran is an exception, quite an interesting
one. And that goes back to the first U.S. serious involvement with Iran. Iran was a kind of a British virtual colony. The
British were involved in preventing Iran from developing, getting—either economically
or politically. But that changed in 1953, when Britain
was too weak to overthrow the parliamentary regime, and the U.S. took over and
carried out—basically, carried out the coup that installed the Shah. Something
quite interesting happened at that time. The United States government wanted
U.S. energy corporations to take over 40 percent of the British concession. It
was a British—the British were taking Iranian oil. But the Eisenhower
administration wanted U.S. energy corporations to take 40 percent of it. That’s
an economic interest. They didn’t want to. They didn’t want to for good
reasons. It was much cheaper then to get oil from Saudi Arabia, so that just
for straight business reasons they didn’t want to have to go to Iran. And
furthermore, they were concerned that that might harm their relations with the
Saudi dictators, Saudi family that essentially owns and runs the country, and
they didn’t want to bother with that. The U.S.
government actually forced them, forced the oil companies, to take a 40 percent
concession. The Eisenhower administration threatened them with antitrust suits
and other threats, if they didn’t do it. So, of course, they backed down
and did it. That’s pretty unusual.
And I think it’s happening now, too. We don’t have
documents from the present period. You know, you get documents from earlier
periods. But you can be pretty confident that the U.S. energy corporations
would be delighted to break into the Iranian market. They don’t like the idea
every other—just about every other major country is
sending, you know, business delegations, investors and others to try to profit
from the opening of Iran, which they support, and the U.S. energy
corporations and other U.S. businesses are blocked by state power. And you can
be sure that they don’t like it. If we had access to their internal
deliberations, I’m sure it would say that. Well, that’s a case where state power, in
this case, overwhelms even economic interests. Iran has to be
punished. Iran committed a serious crime: They disobeyed orders, and you don’t
disobey orders. One of the major doctrines of international affairs,
which doesn’t appear in the literature, is the Mafia doctrine. International
affairs are run like the—very much like the Mafia. The godfather does not
tolerate disobedience. It’s much too dangerous. So, if some small storekeeper
somewhere, say, doesn’t pay protection money, the don doesn’t accept it. You
send their goons to beat him to a pulp, even if you don’t need the money, because others might get the idea, then things might start to
erode. That is a dominant principle of international affairs. In fact,
that was the reason for the 1953 coup, when you look back. And it’s also the
reason why—for U.S. hostility to Iran, which is extreme. I mentioned the
support for Saddam Hussein. That was an attack on Iran, and a serious one. But they defied
orders. They overthrew a U.S.-imposed tyrant. They thumbed their nose at the
United States, and you don’t get away with that.
Actually, Cuba is very similar, since Cuba is extremely—the
hostility to Cuba is quite interesting. I mean, for decades, ever since polls
were taken, the majority of the U.S. population has been in favor of
normalization of relations. OK, it’s normal to disregard the population in a
democracy—they don’t count. But what is unusual in this
case is that major sectors of U.S. economic power have been in favor of
normalization, big sectors—pharmaceuticals, energy industries, agribusiness. They’ve
all wanted to get into the Cuban market. And the state has blocked it, which is
quite unusual. And there’s another case where state power has overwhelmed even
the power of its major domestic sources. In fact, these are two quite striking
examples. And it’s the same thing. And in the case of Cuba, we know it. If you
go back to the Kennedy administration, you know, when the war against Cuba really took off,
it was very explicit. The State Department said we can’t tolerate what they called successful
defiance of U.S. policies, that go back to the Monroe Doctrine. Arthur Schlesinger,
Kennedy’s Latin American adviser, reported to him the report of his Latin
American mission, said the problem is the Castro idea of taking matters into your own
hands, which appeals to others in the hemisphere where people suffer similar
repression, and you can’t let that idea spread. It’s the Mafia
doctrine again, powerful enough to sharply conflict with economic interests. So
there are cases, but they’re rare. And they’re illuminating.
ANTHONY ARNOVE: I think this has to be the
last one. We got all of these, but time’s running out.
Oh, OK. “What is
intelligence?”
Well, it’s something that’s lacking in certain
places. Let’s put it like that. Thanks.
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