I touched down in Beijing in May for the fourth round
of the US-China
Strategic and Economic Dialogue with a jam-packed agenda, but the
world’s attention was focused instead on the fate of a blind human rights
dissident who had sought refuge in the American embassy. Suddenly, an already
delicate trip had become an outsized test of the US-China relationship.
Throughout history, the rise of new powers usually
has played out in zero-sum terms. So it is not surprising that the emergence of
countries such as China, India and Brazil has raised questions about the future
of the global order that the United States, the United Kingdom and our allies
have helped build and defend. Against this backdrop, those few days in May took on even
greater significance: could the US and China write a new answer to the old
question of what happens when an established power and rising power meet?
When I became secretary of state in early 2009, there
were questions about the future of America’s global leadership. We faced two
long and expensive wars, an economy in free fall, fraying alliances and an
international system that seemed to be buckling under the weight of new
threats.
A lot has changed in three years. Under President
Obama’s leadership, the US has ended the war in Iraq and begun a transition in
Afghanistan; we have revitalised American diplomacy, strengthened our alliances
and re-engaged with multilateral institutions. And while the economic recovery
is not as strong as anyone would like, we have pulled back from the brink and
are heading in the right direction.
New powers are playing a greater role on the world
stage. But this is not 1912, when friction between a declining Britain and a
rising Germany set the stage for global conflict. It is 2012, and a strong
America is working with new powers and partners to update an international
system designed to prevent global conflict and promote global prosperity.
Today, the great powers are at peace and no
totalitarian empire threatens the world as it did during the Second World War
and the cold war. But we face different challenges – from the financial crisis
and growing income inequality to climate change, nuclear proliferation and
international terrorism – that spill across borders and defy unilateral
solutions. At the same time, political and technological changes are allowing
huge numbers of people around the world to influence events as never before.
And new players, from those emerging economic powers to non-state actors such
as corporations and cartels, are reshaping the international landscape.
So the geometry of global power is becoming more
distributed and diffuse even as the challenges we face become more complex and
cross-cutting. That means that building coalitions for common action is
becoming both more complicated and more crucial.
Still, amidst all this change, two constants remain.
First, as the world becomes ever more interconnected and interdependent, a
just, open and sustainable international order is required to promote global
peace and prosperity. And second, that order depends on American economic,
military and diplomatic leadership, which has underwritten global peace and
prosperity for decades.
The United States is leading in new ways that fit a
new time – a time of complex challenges and scarce resources. Of course the
day-to-day work of foreign policy has to contend with the crises of the moment,
but we are also working to prioritise our long-term investments in the areas of
greatest opportunity and consequence, as well as the areas of greatest threat.
For the US, our historical alliances in Europe and
east Asia remain the bedrock of our global leadership. The UK and other allies
are our partners of first resort, working side by side on everything from
stopping Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons to protecting civilians in Libya to
achieving an Aids-free generation. We have worked together for decades to shape
the global order and to defend its core principles, and the future of that
order depends on the enduring strength of our partnership.
Yet, as strong as our historical alliances are, we
also recognise the need to work with new partners. Because new regional and
global centres of influence are quickly emerging – and not just India and China
but also countries such as Turkey, Mexico, Brazil, Indonesia and South Africa,
as well as Russia. Some of these are democracies that share many of our core
values; others have very different political systems and perspectives. Aligning
our interests isn’t always easy – we’re seeing just how difficult it can be on
Syria. But we have also had successes, maintaining broad-based pressure on Iran
and North Korea. And we have seen the value of engaging not just bilaterally,
but in multilateral settings such as the G20, where norms can be shaped and
shared. For the US, working with these new players in the years ahead,
encouraging them to accept the responsibility that comes with influence and
ensuring their full integration into the international order is a critical test
for our diplomacy.
A zero-sum approach will only lead to negative-sum
results. So we need to find areas where we can work together and strengthen
diplomatic mechanisms that build trust and help manage our differences. The
Strategic and Economic Dialogue with China that brought me to Beijing in May is
a good example. The US-India Strategic Dialogue, which we held in Washington in
June, is another. These wide-ranging talks bring together hundreds of experts
and officials from both sides to tackle a long list of common concerns.
Our aim is to embed expanding bilateral relationships
in a robust international order: to strengthen and mature effective regional
and global institutions that can mobilise common action and settle disputes
peacefully; to build consensus around rules and norms that help manage
relations between peoples, markets and nations; and to establish security
arrangements that provide stability and build trust.
For this to succeed, we have to work together with
emerging powers to renovate the global architecture to reflect better the
dynamics of today’s world. For example, we are pulling together new groups of
nations to work on specific issues, as in the Global Counterterrorism Forum
that we launched last September, or our new Climate and Clean Air Coalition,
which is targeting the short-lived pollutants that account for up to 30 per
cent of global warming. And we recognise that some international rules and
institutions designed for an earlier age have to be rethought and reconfigured.
But as we do this, there are universal principles
that undergird the international order and must be defended: fundamental
freedoms and universal human rights; an open, free, transparent and fair
economic system; the peaceful resolution of disputes; and respect for the
territorial integrity of states. These are norms that benefit everyone and that
help all people and nations live and trade in peace.
The international system based on these principles
helped fuel, not foil, the rise of emerging powers such as China and India.
Those nations have benefited from the security it provides, the markets it
opens and the trust it fosters. As a consequence, they have a stake in the
success of that system. And as their power and capacity grow, they will rightly
face increasing expectations – from the world to shoulder a share of common
challenges abroad and from their own people to solve problems at home.
To understand how engaging emerging powers within
this kind of framework can deliver results, consider the East Asia Summit.
It brings together the leaders of all the leading
nations in the Asia-Pacific to grapple with the region’s biggest challenges and
pursue comprehensive solutions, whether on non-proliferation, disaster
response, or maritime security. Until last year, the US was not a full member.
But this past November, we officially joined and committed to help the summit
become the premier regional forum for political and security matters.
High on the agenda was the South China Sea. The South China
Sea connects many of the nations of the Asia-Pacific, some of which have
competing claims on its waters and islands. Half the world’s merchant tonnage
flows through the South China Sea, so the stakes for maritime security and
freedom of navigation are high. Trying to settle such complex disputes
bilaterally, one on one, is a recipe for confusion and even confrontation. That
is why when President Obama joined his fellow leaders at the East Asia Summit,
they convened a discussion with all the major players on a framework for
advancing a comprehensive regional solution. Recent renewed tensions in the South China Sea only
underscore the importance of pursuing such a multilateral approach.
Over the past three years, the Obama administration
has made it a priority to engage with regional institutions like the East Asia
Summit and with increasingly effective regional actors like the Arab League and
the African Union. Just a few years ago, some of these institutions lacked both
capability and credibility. That’s changing fast. And this presents an
opportunity to bring nations together to promote regional stability and
security in hotspots like the South China Sea or the Horn of Africa.
Continuing difficulties in the eurozone are a
reminder that effective regional co-ordination and integration is no simple
challenge. However, Europe’s experience also shows the benefits this approach
can bring. A continent riven for centuries by conflict and divisions managed to
achieve unprecedented peace and prosperity by opening its borders, integrating
its economies and co-ordinating its policies. This historic project is not
complete, and in these difficult days it is essential to keep working towards a
Europe that is whole, free, democratic and at peace.
All of these strategies to address the rise of new
powers and the demands of a shifting international landscape reflect a
fundamental lesson about what it takes to lead and to solve problems in today’s
complex world. It is no longer enough to be strong. Great powers also have to
be savvy and persuasive. The test of our leadership going forward will be our
ability to mobilise disparate people and nations to work together to solve
common problems and advance shared values and aspirations. To do that, we need
to expand our foreign policy toolbox, integrate every asset and partner, and
fundamentally change the way we do business. I call this approach smart power.
For example, we recognise that countries such as
China, India and Brazil are gaining influence less because of the size of their
armies than because of the growth of their economies. And we have learned that
our national security today depends on decisions made not just in diplomatic
negotiations and on the battlefield, but also in the financial markets and on
factory floors. So the US has made it a priority to harness more effectively the
tools of global economics to advance our strategic aims abroad. That might mean
finding innovative financial levers to ratchet up pressure on Iran’s nuclear
programme, or forming new public-private partnerships that put corporate energy
and expertise to work on such challenges as climate change and food security.
We are also focused on boosting our economy at home through a greater emphasis
on economic statecraft and what I call jobs diplomacy.
Here’s another example: a defining feature of our age
is that people – especially young people empowered by new connection
technologies – have become a strategic force in their own right. All
governments, even authoritarian regimes, are learning that they cannot ignore
the needs and aspirations of their citizens. And as we have seen in the Middle
East and North Africa, this has profound implications for regional and global
stability.
So we are exploring new ways to reach beyond
traditional government-to-government relations and engage directly with people
around the world. That means using technologies such as Twitter and SMS to open
dialogues with everyone from civil society advocates in Russia to farmers in
Kenya to students in Colombia. But it also means advancing a comprehensive
agenda to support effective democratic transitions in places such as Tunisia,
Egypt, and Libya and championing the universal rights of people everywhere. In
today’s world, this is a hallmark of American leadership and a strategic
imperative.
My experiences as secretary of state have reaffirmed
the link between standing up for human dignity abroad and ensuring national
security at home. It is no coincidence that many of the places where we see the
most instability and conflict are also places where women are abused and denied
their rights, young people are ignored, minorities are persecuted and civil
society is curtailed. Think of the Taliban burning down girls’ schools in
Afghanistan, or the use of mass rape as a weapon of war in Congo. These kinds
of abuses aren’t just symptoms of instability – they actually drive
instability.
By the same token, it is also no coincidence that
many of our closest allies are countries that embrace pluralism and tolerance,
equal rights and equal opportunities. These are not western values, they are
universal values. So, it is in our interest to help those who have been
historically excluded to become full participants in the economic and political
lives of their countries. And it is in our interest to support citizens working
for democratic change, whether they are in Tunis or Rangoon. Otherwise, we will
keep facing the same cycles of conflict and volatility.
In particular, empowering
women and girls around the world is crucial to seizing long-term opportunities
for promoting peace, democracy and sustainable development. We know that when
women have the opportunity to contribute, they can drive social, political and
economic progress not just for themselves, but for entire societies. Goldman Sachs
has reported that reducing barriers to women’s participation in the workforce
would increase America’s GDP by 9 per cent, increase the eurozone’s by 13 per
cent and Japan’s by 16 per cent. That is growth we cannot afford to
pass up. So we’ve made expanding opportunities for women a cornerstone of
America’s foreign policy. We’ve launched ambitious efforts to increase women’s
participation in the economy by opening access to credit and markets, to
enhance the role of women in resolving conflicts and maintaining security, and
to focus global health programmes on the needs of mothers, who are linchpins of
entire communities.
Whether it is elevating an institution such as the
East Asia Summit to provide a forum for regional co-operation, using new
economic tools such as hi-tech sanctions to advance strategic ends, or engaging
directly with civil society to take on scourges such as corruption or
extremism, the common thread running through all our efforts is a commitment to
adapt America’s global leadership for the needs of a changing world.
And even as we seek out new partnerships and new ways
of solving problems, there will continue to be times when the US will and must
act boldly, directly and alone – for example, to pursue Osama Bin Laden. Such
occasions will be rare, and we will turn to them only as a last resort, but we
take seriously our responsibilities as a global leader and our responsibilities
to the American people.
All of this – the changing international landscape,
the complex demands on America’s global leadership and our efforts to
revitalise diplomacy for the 21st century – was on my mind as I arrived in
Beijing on that tense day in May. And it gave me confidence as we negotiated
our way through the week. In the end, the relationship we have worked so hard
to build with China proved more durable and dynamic than many feared. Both
countries stayed focused on our shared agenda and engaged candidly on a wide
range of critical issues, from cyber-security to North Korea to the South China
Sea. And today, that blind dissident is safely studying law in New York.
America and our allies have come through a long
decade of war, terrorism and recession. These continue to be difficult days for
many of our citizens. But as I travel the world, I see evidence that our
leadership is still respected and required. Yes, this is because of our
military and our material might, but it is also because of our commitment to
fairness, justice, freedom and democracy – not just to our own good, but to the
greater good.
There is no real precedent in history for the role we
play or the responsibility we have shouldered, and there is no alternative.
That is what makes American leadership so exceptional, and it is why I am
confident that we will continue to serve and defend a peaceful and prosperous
global order for many years to come.
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