Richard Ellis/Zuma Wire
I’m not quite sure what I was
doing last week when this first appeared, but I missed it. Here’s a summary
from UMass Amherst professor Gerald Friedman about the impact on the economy if
we adopt all of Bernie Sanders’ domestic spending proposals:
WTF? Per-capita GDP will grow
4.5 percent? And not just in a single year: Friedman is projecting it will grow
by an average of 4.5 percent every year for the next decade.
Productivity growth will double compared with Congressional Budget Office
projections—and in case you’re curious, there has never been a 10-year
period since World War II in which productivity grew 3.18 percent. Not one. And
miraculously, the employment-population ratio, which has been declining since 2000
and has never reached 65 percent ever in history, will rise to 65 percent in a
mere 10 years.
The Sanders campaign hasn’t
officially endorsed this analysis, but we do have this:
Warren Gunnels, policy director
for the Sanders campaign, hailed the report’s finding that the proposals are feasible
and expressed hope that more people will look into them. “It’s gotten a
little bit of attention, but not nearly as much as we would like,” Mr.
Gunnels said. “Senator Sanders has been fighting establishment politics, the
establishment economics and the establishment media. And this is the last thing
they want to take a look at.
“It shows that over a 10-year
period, we would create 26 million new jobs, the poverty rate would plummet,
that incomes would go up dramatically, and we would have strong economic growth…It’s
a very bold plan, and we want to get this out there.”
I’ve generally tried to go easy
on Sanders. I like his vision, and I like his general attitude toward Wall
Street. But this is insane. If anything, it’s worse than the endless magic asterisks
that Republicans use to pretend their tax plans will supercharge the economy
and pay for themselves. It’s not even remotely in the realm of reality. If it
were, France and Germany and Denmark would by now be consumer paradises to make
Croesus blush.
A group of stuffy establishment
economists says “no credible economic research” supports Friedman’s
analysis, which “undermines our reputation as the party of responsible
arithmetic.” Or, in Austan Goolsbee’s more colorful language, Sanders’ plans have “evolved into magic flying puppies with winning Lotto
tickets tied to their collars.”
Enough is enough. Everyone
needs to get back to reality. This ain’t it.
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